Yield prediction
For each field the record gives a bushels-per-acre estimate with an 80 percent interval, taken from its state and crop’s own back-test. The back-test result is printed beside it, so the reader sees how wide the uncertainty is.
For crop insurers’ claims leads, agronomy teams and agricultural lenders.
- States
- Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Kansas
- Interval
- 80 percent, per field
- Delivered as
- PDF, GeoTIFF, GeoJSON, KML, shapefile
01 · The order
What you send, and what comes back
You send
- Fields, drawn or uploaded
- The season
- Corn for grain or soybeans
You receive
- An estimate in bushels per acre for each field, with its 80 percent interval
- The season, crop and county it rests on
- The back-test result for that state and crop, printed beside it
02 · How it is read
From the open archive to the record
Public sources
- 01
The model is back-tested year by year against USDA county yields, leaving each year out in turn.
- 02
It covers the counties of Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska and Kansas it is trained on. A field outside them gets no estimate, and the reason.
03 · The record behind it
What it has been measured against
Each figure is printed with its denominator and scope in the paper it links to.
- 3 states
- where soybeans clear every pre-registered back-test gate: Illinois, Kansas and Nebraska
- 5.45 bu/ac
- error for Illinois soybeans in the year-by-year back-test, against 7.38 for the county-average control
A weekly field record from forty-three years of open imagery, Axine Labs, 2026
A weekly field record from forty-three years of open imagery, Axine Labs, 2026
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